Scenarios Assessment
The Scenarios Working Group considered the possible
evolution of ecosystem services during the twenty-first
century by developing four global scenarios exploring
plausible future changes in drivers, ecosystems, ecosystem
services, and human well-being.
Three of four detailed
scenarios examined by the Scenarios Working Group suggest
that significant changes in policies, institutions, and
practices can mitigate some but not all of the negative
consequences of growing pressures on ecosystems, but the
changes required are substantial and are not currently under
way.
Assessment report chapters
Contents, Foreword, Preface [pdf,
1640 KB]
01. MA Conceptual Framework [pdf,
394 KB]
02. Global Scenarios in Historical Perspective
[pdf, 291 KB]
03. Ecology in Global Scenarios [pdf,
295 KB]
04. State of Art in Describing Future Changes in Ecosystem
Services [pdf, 425 KB]
05. Rationale and Logics of the Scenarios
[pdf, 490 KB]
06. Methodology for Developing the MA Scenarios
[pdf, 1619 KB]
07. Drivers of Change in Ecosystem Conditions and Services
[pdf, 1492 KB]
08. Scenarios [pdf, 1872 KB]
09. Ecosystem Services across Scenarios
[pdf, 4072 KB]
10. Biodiversity Across Scenarios
[pdf, 1936 KB]
11. Human Well-being Across Scenarios
[pdf, 266 KB]
12. Trade-offs Among Ecosystem Services
[pdf, 307 KB]
13. Synthesis: Lessons Learned [pdf,
427 KB]
14. Synthesis: Policy Implications
[pdf, 603 KB]
Appendices [pdf, 4521 KB]
Scenarios Working Group
Co-Chairs
- Stephen Carpenter, University of Wisconsin, USA
- Prabhu Pingali, FAO, Italy
Technical support
- Dr. Elena Bennett
Center for Limnology,
University of Wisconsin – Madison
Wisconsin, USA
- Dr. Monika Zurek
UN Food and Agriculture
Organization - FAO (ESAE)
Rome, Italy